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Just another “Clever Hans”? Neural networks and FDG PET-CT to predict the outcome of patients with breast cancer

Authors: Weber, Manuel; Kersting, David; Umutlu, Lale; Schäfers, Michael; Rischpler, Christoph; Fendler, Wolfgang; Buvat, Irène; +2 Authors

Just another “Clever Hans”? Neural networks and FDG PET-CT to predict the outcome of patients with breast cancer

Abstract

Abstract Background Manual quantification of the metabolic tumor volume (MTV) from whole-body 18F-FDG PET/CT is time consuming and therefore usually not applied in clinical routine. It has been shown that neural networks might assist nuclear medicine physicians in such quantification tasks. However, little is known if such neural networks have to be designed for a specific type of cancer or whether they can be applied to various cancers. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of a neural network in a cancer that was not used for its training. Methods Fifty consecutive breast cancer patients that underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT were included in this retrospective analysis. The PET-Assisted Reporting System (PARS) prototype that uses a neural network trained on lymphoma and lung cancer 18F-FDG PET/CT data had to detect pathological foci and determine their anatomical location. Consensus reads of two nuclear medicine physicians together with follow-up data served as diagnostic reference standard; 1072 18F-FDG avid foci were manually segmented. The accuracy of the neural network was evaluated with regard to lesion detection, anatomical position determination, and total tumor volume quantification. Results If PERCIST measurable foci were regarded, the neural network displayed high per patient sensitivity and specificity in detecting suspicious 18F-FDG foci (92%; CI = 79–97% and 98%; CI = 94–99%). If all FDG-avid foci were regarded, the sensitivity degraded (39%; CI = 30–50%). The localization accuracy was high for body part (98%; CI = 95–99%), region (88%; CI = 84–90%), and subregion (79%; CI = 74–84%). There was a high correlation of AI derived and manually segmented MTV (R2 = 0.91; p < 0.001). AI-derived whole-body MTV (HR = 1.275; CI = 1.208–1.713; p < 0.001) was a significant prognosticator for overall survival. AI-derived lymph node MTV (HR = 1.190; CI = 1.022–1.384; p = 0.025) and liver MTV (HR = 1.149; CI = 1.001–1.318; p = 0.048) were predictive for overall survival in a multivariate analysis. Conclusion Although trained on lymphoma and lung cancer, PARS showed good accuracy in the detection of PERCIST measurable lesions. Therefore, the neural network seems not prone to the clever Hans effect. However, the network has poor accuracy if all manually segmented lesions were used as reference standard. Both the whole body and organ-wise MTV were significant prognosticators of overall survival in advanced breast cancer.

Country
France
Keywords

Medizin, [INFO.INFO-IM] Computer Science [cs]/Medical Imaging, [INFO.INFO-NE] Computer Science [cs]/Neural and Evolutionary Computing [cs.NE], Metabolic tumor volume, Breast Neoplasms, Prognosis, Breast Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging [MeSH] ; Female [MeSH] ; Humans [MeSH] ; Breast cancer ; Positron Emission Tomography Computed Tomography [MeSH] ; Radiopharmaceuticals [MeSH] ; Retrospective Studies [MeSH] ; Neural Networks, Computer [MeSH] ; Fluorodeoxyglucose F18 [MeSH] ; Original Article ; Tomography, X-Ray Computed [MeSH] ; Metabolic tumor volume ; Neural network ; Prognosis [MeSH] ; Advanced Image Analyses (Radiomics and Artificial Intelligence) ; Tumor Burden [MeSH], Neural network, Tumor Burden, Breast cancer, [SDV.IB.IMA] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Bioengineering/Imaging, [SDV.CAN] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Cancer, Fluorodeoxyglucose F18, Positron Emission Tomography Computed Tomography, 18 F-FDG PET, Humans, Original Article, Female, Neural Networks, Computer, Radiopharmaceuticals, Tomography, X-Ray Computed, Retrospective Studies

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
33
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