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Mapping the drivers of within-host pathogen evolution using massive data sets

Authors: Palmer, Duncan S.; Turner, Isaac; Fidler, Sarah; Frater, John; Goulder, Philip; Goedhals, Dominique; Huang, Kuan-Hsiang Gary; +6 Authors

Mapping the drivers of within-host pathogen evolution using massive data sets

Abstract

AbstractDifferences among hosts, resulting from genetic variation in the immune system or heterogeneity in drug treatment, can impact within-host pathogen evolution. Identifying such interactions can potentially be achieved through genetic association studies. However, extensive and correlated genetic population structure in hosts and pathogens presents a substantial risk of confounding analyses. Moreover, the multiple testing burden of interaction scanning can potentially limit power. To address these problems, we have developed a Bayesian approach for detecting host influences on pathogen evolution that makes use of vast existing data sets of pathogen diversity to improve power and control for stratification. The approach models key processes, including recombination and selection, and identifies regions of the pathogen genome affected by host factors. Using simulations and empirical analysis of drug-induced selection on the HIV-1 genome we demonstrate the power of the method to recover known associations and show greatly improved precision-recall characteristics compared to other approaches. We build a high-resolution map of HLA-induced selection in the HIV-1 genome, identifying novel epitope-allele combinations.

Keywords

HLA CLASS-I, SELECTION, 570, Evolution, Anti-HIV Agents, Science, Datasets as Topic, General Physics and Astronomy, HIV Infections, Genome, Viral, SUSCEPTIBILITY, ESCAPE, Article, General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology, Evolution, Molecular, Epitopes, Genetic, Models, HLA Antigens, Humans, Viral, Selection, Genetic, POLYMORPHISMS, Recombination, Genetic, Genome, Science & Technology, T-CELL RESPONSES, Models, Genetic, IMMUNE-RESPONSES, MUTATIONS, Q, Molecular, HIV-1 DRUG-RESISTANCE, Bayes Theorem, General Chemistry, Recombination, Multidisciplinary Sciences, Host-Pathogen Interactions, HIV-1, Science & Technology - Other Topics, VIRUS

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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
9
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
gold