This research proposal links to the International Ocean Discovery Program (IODP) Expedition 396 which will drill several scientific research boreholes along the offshore Norwegian continental margin. The Norwegian margin is one of the best studied examples of a passive rifted margin associated with voluminous magmatic activity. However, key scientific questions associated with the origins of magmatism and its impacts on global climate at this time remain. The objectives of the cruise cover a wide range of high impact scientific research areas including assessing the role of the Iceland plume on excess magmatism, understanding along axis variations in magmatism, determining the nature and depositional environment of volcanism, and assessing the role that magmatism played in driving global warming (Paleocene Eocene Thermal Maximum or PETM) at this time. A secondary goal of the expedition is to appraise the potential of permanent carbon capture and storage (CCS) in the volcanic sequences. This research project will address several of the EXP 396 objectives focusing on three specific areas of research. Objective 1: Understanding the interplay between magmatism and eruption environments during rifting. Volcanic cores will be used to appraise how volcanism and the environment of eruption changed in space and time during continental rifting. Detailed facies analyses of the volcanic sequences will be undertaken to reveal whether the eruptions occurred within subaerial, marginal, or subaqueous environments. Geophysical logging data will be used alongside core observations to build a comprehensive and integrated volcanological model for the borehole penetrated sequences. The geophysical volcanic model will then be used to calibrate extensive 3D seismic surveys in the area which in turn will enable mapping of volcanic facies over large parts of the margin. This aspect of the project will enable new understanding about how extrusive magmatism is linked to margin scale base-level changes which in turn will give new data for testing competing models for volcanic rifted margin evolution such as plume-pulsing versus plate tectonics. Objective 2: Appraising the carbon capture and storage (CCS) potential of break-up related volcanic sequences. Pilot studies on Iceland (Carbfix) and in Washington State, USA (Wallula), have demonstrated that CO2 reacts with basaltic rocks to form carbonate minerals, effectively permanently storing the CO2. Permanent storage clearly reduces the risk of leakage and has been demonstrated to occur over incredibly rapid timescales on the order of a few years. The huge volume of offshore break-up related volcanic sequences that will be tested during EXP. 396 could offer an alternative storage site for permanent storage of anthropogenic CO2. Volcanic sequences can have good reservoir properties, however, extensive weathering and alteration can also significantly diminish and clog up the pore structure. Within this study petrophysical analyses of volcanic cores will be performed to give important new constraints on the reservoir potential and sealing capacity of the Atlantic margin volcanic sequences. Objective 3: Understanding the temporal and spatial evolution of magma petrogenesis within the province and its potential role in driving the PETM. Geochemical analyses from the various volcanic sequences will be used to appraise whether elevated and/or fluctuating mantle temperatures led to excess magmatism in mid-Norway. Regional datasets will be compared to appraise how melting changed along the margin and whether these results resolve competing plume or plate tectonic models. Some sites will target hydrothermal vents associated with break-up related intrusions which caused massive emissions of Greenhouse gases. High resolution core-log-seismic appraisal coupled with isotopic dating of the ejecta layers will hopefully improve the age constraints on these processes in order to better appraise links to the PETM.

Over periods of hundreds of millions of years, Earth's surface is recycled via the fragmentation of continents to form new oceans and elsewhere the sinking of oceanic plates into the mantle beneath. The breakup of continents involves progressive stretching and thinning prior to final breakup and the formation of new oceanic crust from molten rock that rises from below, flanked by continental margins comprised of thinned continental crust. There is a range of continental margin types, varying from those where the underlying mantle starts to melt very early in the process and very large volumes are added to the crust, to those "magma-poor" margins where there is little evidence for such melting until the very end of the process. At these magma-poor margins, which are common globally, it has been found that the crust can thin to nothing and mantle rocks can be exposed at the seabed, where they react with seawater in a process called serpentinisation. This serpentinisation plays an important role in exchange of chemicals between the Earth's interior and the ocean, and may be particularly intense around geological faults. While the final stages of thinning of the continental crust have been studied extensively over the past three decades, the transition from exposing mantle at the seabed through to forming new oceanic crust by the eruption of molten rock has been less well studied. Even designing such a study can be challenging because it is often unclear how wide this transition is. Also, because such mantle exposure has also been found in the middle of the oceans, this transition may be more complicated than often assumed. Our project will use a novel combination of geophysical techniques to study this final stage of continental breakup at a magma-poor continental margin southwest of the UK. There, crust that seems from all available data to be "normal" oceanic crust lies within about 150 km of crust confirmed by drilling to be continental. A region of serpentinised mantle, now overlain by up to around 1 km of mud, lies in between. For the first time in such a location, we will use electromagnetic waves, generated from a towed source, to measure the electrical resistivity of the crust and serpentinised mantle. Electromagnetic waves are strongly attenuated by seawater, so the source must be powerful and must be towed close to the seabed. We will use a combination of towed sensors, that are most sensitive to structures just below the seabed, and seabed detectors that can measure tiny fluctuations in electrical and magnetic fields at distances of up to tens of kilometres from our source, and thus allow us to probe deeper. We will also use some of the same seabed receivers to detect sound waves travelling through the crust from a source towed close to the ship, and to detect lower-frequency electromagnetic waves that are generated by natural sources and penetrate deeper into the Earth. The data that we collect will allow us, via the use of powerful computer programmes, to construct models of the variation of both sound speed and electrical resistivity in the crust and in the upper few tens of kilometres of the mantle beneath. These parameters provide a powerful combination because they are sensitive in different ways to the nature of the rocks. The electrical resistivity is particularly sensitive to the presence of water, and also of a mineral called magnetite that can be formed during the process of serpentinisation. The sound velocity is less sensitive to the presence of water but can be more sensitive to variations in the minerals present. From our models, we expect to be able to distinguish the continental crust and mantle, the oceanic crust and mantle, and the nature of the materials in between. We will then link these observations to computer models of the physical and chemical processes occurring as continents break apart. Thus we will find out how the formation of new oceanic crust actually starts.

Volcanic eruptions as ocean islands present a diverse range of direct and indirect hazards. Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai is a submarine collapse caldera along the Kermadec-Tonga arc with an active subaerial caldera rim cone. Volcanic activity renewed at Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai in December 2021 with activity developing a new vent at the NW caldera rim cone. At 04:14 UTC on January 15th 2022, the central caldera vent erupted with the most powerful eruption globally in the last 30 years. The eruption produced a 30 km-high and 4 km-wide ash column, barometric pressure waves that transited the Earth's atmosphere, a 6.5 MW earthquake and a trans-oceanic tsunami. Seafloor processes related to the eruption also severed local and international submarine telecommunication cables, which led to difficulties co-ordinating disaster response, effectively cutting off Tonga from international communications. The cascading hazards from the eruption caused $90.4M of damage, equivalent to 18.5% of Tonga's Gross Domestic Product. The eruption presented a geohazard blind spot in its rapid escalation from Surtseyan to Plininan-style eruption and generation of tsunami. It is important to understand the eruption and the cascading hazards. Whilst the eruption is notable for its power and cascading hazards, a significant question is the escalation in explosivity without warning remains a major question. Satellite evidence indicates that the active NE caldera rim cone was destroyed less than two hours before the eruption, posing a more specific question of its role in the escalation in eruption explosivity. Furthermore, the Kermadec-Tonga arc is populated by 28 similar collapse caldera volcanoes, thus an important question is whether the eruption at HT-HH likely representative of volcanism across the Kermadec-Tonga arc? This project proposes to bring together leading experts in multiple disciplines (including volcanologists, geochemists, marine sedimentologists, tsunami specialists and technologists). The project also utilises unique access to multiple different complimentary datasets that will allow the assembled partnership to answer these questions above. In order to address these important questions we will collate newly acquired high-resolution multibeam bathymetric data in April 2022 and August 2022 with partners NIWA and GNS. The comparison of this data with bathymetry from 2016 will allow us to identify seafloor changes caused by the eruption, calculate the volumes of material added or mobilised during this event, and derive eruption characteristics from the geomorphological changes mapped. This study provides a new baseline from which future larger studies of this potentially paradigm-shifting eruption can be based and the products generated will help to constrain the boundary conditions for future eruption and tsunami modelling. Evidence from similar settings (e.g. Anak Krakatau) indicate that the environment is incredibly dynamics, thus the project benefits from data collected as soon as is feasible after the eruption. This opportunity is unique both because of the scale of the event and because of the high-quality data available to study it (pre-existing bathymetry, cooperation from cable operators, well constrained eruption timings and processes) and also takes advantage of extending a scheduled research cruise nearby, significantly reducing the associated costs, CO2 outputs and COVID-19 exposure for international partners.

Volcanic eruptions in marine settings pose a diverse range of hazards, both directly and indirectly caused by the eruption. In January 2022 the partially-submerged Tongan volcano Hunga Tonga - Hunga-Ha'apai experienced one of the most powerful volcanic events seen in decades, generating a tsunami that caused damage both locally and on shorelines thousands of km away, breaking the only seafloor telecommunications cables that connect Tonga to the rest of the world and causing $90.4M of damage, equivalent to 18.5% of Tonga's Gross Domestic Product. The damage to the cable both severely hampered efforts to contact and assist Tonga in the immediate aftermath of the disaster and the time of writing (16th Feb 2022) had not yet been repaired; effectively meaning that 105,000 Tongan citizens have had to rely on low bandwidth, high latency satellite communication for over a month. Both the local tsunami and the cable break were unusual. First, while local tsunami waves ran up to 15m in some parts of Tonga, this near field tsunami was smaller and caused less damage than similar events elsewhere e.g. smaller 2018 Anak Krakatau volcanic-tsunami. Second, while the explosive event at the volcano occurred at 04:14 UTC the seabed cable faults did not occur until 05:40 UTC, 90 minutes later. This proposal will examine whether these events were caused by secondary submarine landslides or other process and will characterise their locations, dynamics and magnitudes. In order to address these important questions we will collect new high-resolution multibeam bathymetric data in April 2022 over the region to compare with existing high-resolution data from before the eruption. This comparison will allow us to identify seafloor changes caused by Hunga Tonga -Hunga Ha'apai, map their locations and extents and calculate the volumes of material added or mobilised during this event. This study will also provide a new baseline from which future larger studies of this potentially paradigm-shifting eruption can be based and the products generated will help to constrain the boundary conditions for future tsunami modelling. In order for data to be accurate and useful they must be collected as soon as is feasible after the eruption. The seafloor is extremely dynamic (as shown by repeat surveys at smaller offshore volcanoes), large volumes of material can be deposited over short timescales and existing shallow sediments can be remobilised by waves and storms. This opportunity is unique both because of the scale of the event and because of the high-quality data available to study it (pre-existing bathymetry, cooperation from cable operators, well constrained eruption timings and processes) and also takes advantage of extending a scheduled research cruise nearby, significantly reducing the associated costs and CO2 outputs. Cable companies can share data from the faults and repair, but their vessels are not equipped with multibeam sonars required to perform detailed seafloor surveys; hence the causes of faults, the nature of the eruptive event are unclear and cannot be addressed by satellite data either. Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai is far from unique; there are numerous similar volcanoes both in the Tofua Arc and worldwide. However, very few of these are monitored and most are poorly surveyed; hence the risk they pose is unclear. This timely project will provide the first detailed time-lapse surveys for such a large offshore eruption, and thus enables major step changes in understanding the dynamics of extremely large eruptions, and how they generate secondary hazards, via tsunami or breaking critical seabed telecommunication cables that carry >99% of all digital traffic globally. Time is of the essence; performing a rapid response survey (by extending an already scheduled cruise that will travel close to the area) will provide robust answers to fundamental questions about submarine volcanic eruptions and their linked hazards.

With the Kigali Amendment coming into force in 2019, the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer has entered a major new phase in which the production and use of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) will be controlled in most major economies. This landmark achievement will enhance the Protocol's already-substantial benefits to climate, in addition to its success in protecting the ozone layer. However, recent scientific advances have shown that challenges lie ahead for the Montreal Protocol, due to the newly discovered production of ozone-depleting substances (ODS) thought to be phased-out, rapid growth of ozone-depleting compounds not controlled under the Protocol, and the potential for damaging impacts of halocarbon degradation products. This proposal tackles the most urgent scientific questions surrounding these challenges by combining state-of-the-art techniques in atmospheric measurements, laboratory experiments and advanced numerical modelling. We will: 1) significantly expand atmospheric measurement coverage to better understand the global distribution of halocarbon emissions and to identify previously unknown atmospheric trends, 2) combine industry models and atmospheric data to improve our understanding of the relationship between production (the quantity controlled under the Protocol), "banks" of halocarbons stored in buildings and products, and emissions to the atmosphere, 3) determine recent and likely future trends of unregulated, short-lived halocarbons, and implications for the timescale of recovery of the ozone layer, 4) explore the complex atmospheric chemistry of the newest generation of halocarbons and determine whether breakdown products have the potential to contribute to climate change or lead to unforeseen negative environmental consequences, 5) better quantify the influence of halocarbons on climate and refine the climate- and ozone-depletion-related metrics used to compare the effects of halocarbons in international agreements and in the design of possible mitigation strategies. This work will be carried out by a consortium of leaders in the field of halocarbon research, who have an extensive track record of contributing to Montreal Protocol bodies and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, ensuring lasting impact of the new developments that will be made.